NHL betting market report: daily picks, advice for Tuesday, November 8

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NHL betting market report for Tuesday, November 8Th

I am traveling internationally this week, so I will have to post some of my articles overnight.

get: 23 Disadvantages: 22 Units get: + 0.96 units ROI: 2.2 percent

I track all my spins on Betstamp: a third party bet tracking app. The bets reveal themselves after the game begins. I also keep my own personal records and they may be slightly different from Betstamp due to several factors, but for the most part, they should line up closely.

Tuesday Bets: Los Angeles Kings -105

All game lines via DraftKings Sportsbook and BetMGM Sportsbook, but sometimes will use consensus odds from VSiN NHL odds page if it’s better priced and widely available. All recommended bets will be accompanied by a recommended stake size. All stats via Evolving Hockey and Natural Stat Trick.

Minnesota Wild (-115) at Los Angeles Kings (-105)

Below are the teams that the Wild have beaten this season: Vancouver, Montreal (twice), Ottawa and Chicago. In other words, the Wild didn’t beat anyone. The Kings, on the other hand, have earned victories over Toronto, Florida and Tampa Bay, to name a few, and they even beat the Wild a few weeks ago. The Kings should be the favorite in this game. The Wild have four days off, but the Kings last played on Saturday, so this is not a state of rest and does not check out, according to my model. Marcus Foligno, Jordan Greenway and Ryan Hartman are all expected to return in November, but it doesn’t look like we should expect to see any of those players suit up for this game. It is possible that Greenway returns to the lineup, as he will do so at some point during this road trip, but nothing has been confirmed. Either way, give me the Kings on the money line at the selected price for the day.

Los Angeles is the better team, top to bottom, and if they can play most games at even strength, the ice should be stacked against them. Neither team is getting a good goal today, but things are particularly bad for the road team. It’s unclear who will start for the Wild on Tuesday, as they will play Anaheim on Wednesday, but Filip Gustavsson is another option and, so far, he hasn’t made a difference at the NHL level. Statistically speaking, Fleury and Gustavsson might be the worst tandem in the league, but Jonathan Quick and Cal Petersen have put up some scary numbers to start the season as well. However, unlike Fleury and Gustavsson, Quick and Petersen were good last season, and it’s still worth it. Or maybe not. I do not know. Goaltenders are voodoo.

I NHL betting model price of this game is closer to -130 in favor of Kings, so I am risking a little more than two units to get two units at -105. The Kings will still be the right side to -120, but the bet will be very small. So, if you are tail, adjust your stake accordingly depending on the odds you want.

Bet: Los Angeles Kings -105 Stakes: 2.1 units get 2 units

Arizona Coyotes (+170) at Buffalo Sabers (-190)

Head coach Don Granato said there is a possibility that star defensive end Rasmus Dahlin plays on Tuesday. If that’s the case, the Sabers will be the bigger favorite, and I’d consider betting on the puck line. Buffalo’s offensive game is on point, but Dahlin is a big reason why. The 22-year-old currently leads the Sabers in points with 15 in 11 games, and if he is in the lineup, the Sabers’ price should be closer to -240. The Coyotes did not score enough goals (two or less in six of 11 games) and ranked dead last in every offensive category. Buffalo should be able to dominate this game, which is not something I thought I would hear myself say in the 2022-23 season, but here we are.

Nashville Predators (-110) at Seattle Kraken (-110)

Kraken forward Jared McCann has missed the last two games, and there is no change in his status even though he has been practicing. It looks like he’s been upgraded from doubtful to questionable, which means the team probably hasn’t ruled out the possibility he’ll play. There is some value in the Kraken at -110 if he matches up as expected, but otherwise, the market has this game priced appropriately. Seattle is a good hockey team, but their goaltending is still very iffy, to say the least. Some money came in Nashville overnight but someone bought back in Seattle and now the line should be around -115.

Edmonton Oilers (+130) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-150)

Stuart Skinner started in goal for the Oilers in Washington on Monday against a depleted Capitals team and lost 5-4. Skinner has been good this season, but the Oilers haven’t given him much help. Jack Campbell, meanwhile, has returned, and he will almost certainly start in Tampa Bay on Tuesday. Campbell has allowed about six goals above the expected in eight games this season and has allowed at least four goals in more than half of his starts. The Oilers will have to outscore their goaltending problems if they want to win the game, and while they can do that, it’s a bit tougher against an opponent like Tampa Bay with a goaltender like Andrei Vasilevskiy, in the second half back-to-back, however. My model prices the Oilers at +130.

St. Louis Blues (-125) at Philadelphia Flyers (+105)

Blues backup goalie Thomas Greiss will likely start in Philadelphia after losing Jordan Binnington to the Boston Bruins on Monday. The Blues are in trouble, having lost seven in a row. They have won their first three games this season, but since then it has gone downhill. I NHL betting model the price of the game as a coin flip, which means the Flyers could be a decent bet. The problem with betting on Philadelphia, is that you almost always need them to confirm whether or not Carter Hart will start in goal. They are a bad hockey team, and their star goaltender is the only reason I, or anyone else, would consider betting on them winning games. They are as bad as Coyotes in most areas. Of course, injuries to some of the best forwards are a force behind his poor base numbers, but Hart is the only good thing about this team. Most shops are sitting at +105 or worse, and I don’t want exposure to the home team at that price.

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